Is the Growth in Milk Production Coming from More Cows or More Productive Cows?

Is the Growth in Milk Production Coming from More Cows or More Productive Cows?

The last post covered the growth in milk production.  The growth in milk production over five years is 2.4% (see this post).  The cow count for the U.S. has grown by just .5% over the same 5 years.  This post will cover in detail the monthly growth in milk per cow.  Most states have increased milk per cow, and a few have lower milk per cow.  All data in this post is based on 12-month moving averages to avoid annual cycles.

Chart I below shows the growth in milk per cow for the U.S.  The growth in milk per cow was strong beginning of 2021 but since has slowed.  In 2025 there is almost no growth.

Chart I – U.S. Milk per Cow per Month

Table I below compares the five largest dairy states progress on increasing milk per cow.  They are the biggest contributors to the U.S. average and make up 55% of the U.S. milk.  Following Table I are charts of the progress made in each state.

Table I – Growth in Milk per Cow for the
Five Largest Dairy Producing States

Texas and New York (Charts II and III) show steady growth in milk per cow in the last five years.  Wisconsin (Chart IV) showed steady growth through 2023 but since then milk per cow has not shown growth.  Idaho has shown significant growth in 2024 and 2025.  In the prior post, California showed a loss in milk production and in Chart VI California also shows a loss in milk per cow.  Because California is the largest dairy producing state (it produces 18% of the U.S. Milk), California has a significant impact on the total U.S. milk per cow statistics in Chart I above.  

Chart II – Texas Milk per Cow
Chart III – New York State Milk per Cow
Chart Iv – Wisconsin Milk per Cow
Chart V – Idaho Milk per Cow
Chart VI– California Milk per Cow

The U.S. cow population increased by 1% in 2025.  It is not at record highs, although the volume of milk production is at record highs.  That validates the impact of increased milk per cow.  While the increase in cow count has contributed to the increase in milk production, as mentioned in the opening statement in this post, most of the increase in milk production has resulted from improved technology and management.  

Chart VII – U.S. Growth in Cow Population

More milk per cow is an important element in providing low-cost dairy products.  Combining the increasing milk per cow with the increasing level of components in that milk expresses the impact of these two elements combined.  Table I below shows the increase of higher components.  Protein levels have increased by 5% and butterfat levels have increased by 8%.  Other solids have increased only slightly.

Table II – Increases in Component Levels

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The last post covered the growth in milk production.  The growth in milk production over five years is 2.4% (see this post).  The cow count for the U.S. has grown by just .5% over the same 5 years.  This post will cover in detail the monthly growth in milk per cow.  Most states have increased milk per cow, and a few have lower milk per cow.  All data in this post is based on 12-month moving averages to avoid annual cycles.

Chart I below shows the growth in milk per cow for the U.S.  The growth in milk per cow was strong beginning of 2021 but since has slowed.  In 2025 there is almost no growth.

Chart I – U.S. Milk per Cow per Month

Table I below compares the five largest dairy states progress on increasing milk per cow.  They are the biggest contributors to the U.S. average and make up 55% of the U.S. milk.  Following Table I are charts of the progress made in each state.

Table I – Growth in Milk per Cow for the
Five Largest Dairy Producing States

Texas and New York (Charts II and III) show steady growth in milk per cow in the last five years.  Wisconsin (Chart IV) showed steady growth through 2023 but since then milk per cow has not shown growth.  Idaho has shown significant growth in 2024 and 2025.  In the prior post, California showed a loss in milk production and in Chart VI California also shows a loss in milk per cow.  Because California is the largest dairy producing state (it produces 18% of the U.S. Milk), California has a significant impact on the total U.S. milk per cow statistics in Chart I above.  

Chart II – Texas Milk per Cow
Chart III – New York State Milk per Cow
Chart Iv – Wisconsin Milk per Cow
Chart V – Idaho Milk per Cow
Chart VI– California Milk per Cow

The U.S. cow population increased by 1% in 2025.  It is not at record highs, although the volume of milk production is at record highs.  That validates the impact of increased milk per cow.  While the increase in cow count has contributed to the increase in milk production, as mentioned in the opening statement in this post, most of the increase in milk production has resulted from improved technology and management.  

Chart VII – U.S. Growth in Cow Population

More milk per cow is an important element in providing low-cost dairy products.  Combining the increasing milk per cow with the increasing level of components in that milk expresses the impact of these two elements combined.  Table I below shows the increase of higher components.  Protein levels have increased by 5% and butterfat levels have increased by 8%.  Other solids have increased only slightly.

Table II – Increases in Component Levels

 Additional changes will be followed in future posts to this blog.

Other recent posts are available at this link, and older posts are available at this link.

Subscribe via email

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