How to Squeeze Out the Best Value for Producer Milk

How to Squeeze Out the Best Value for Producer Milk

Prior posts covered the low prices for producer milk.  The value of commodities is priced on formulas developed by the USDA and implemented in 2025.  The details on how a producer is paid will be covered in this post.  There are 12 charts in this blog to cover the details.  Most data is displayed in monthly increments.  The purpose is to highlight the important elements to increase revenue. 

 The value of components is mostly low.  A milk producer does not have control on component prices.  The most important elements that a producers can control are the percent of components in milk and milk per cow. 

While the price of components is based on a 4-4-5 weekly basis, milk production follows the calendar days.  Component level and milk per cow are based on 12-month moving averages to eliminate volatility in weekly data.

THE FACTS – COMPONENT PRICES

The value of butterfat has fallen by 46% and appears to be trending lower (Chart I).
Chart I – Butterfat Price per Pound

The protein pricing formula is linked to the price of cheese and the price of butterfat.  Cheese prices are low but have gained 19% in 2026 (Chart III).  The cheese price is determined by the wholesale price of Cheddar cheese. 

The USDA formulas are configured so that the decreases in butterfat prices increase the value of protein, but the relatively low cheese prices offset some of the gains (Chart II).  

Cheese production is currently higher than domestic consumption, increasing inventories and esports.  But the price of cheese is trending upward and therefore the price of protein has increased and should continue to increase.

Chart II – Protein Price per Pound
Chart III – Cheese Price per Pound

Other Solids are priced on the value of dry whey.  The current price of other solids is $.38 per pound, a decent price, but a small contributor to overall producer revenue (Chart IV).

CHART IV – Other Solids Price per Pound

THE FACTS – COMPONENTS AND MILK VOLUME

Component percents and milk per cow are under the control of the producer. The trends are covered in the three charts below. Butterfat percent (Chart V) has a strong influence on revenue. The increase has been steady for most of the time covered in these charts, but in late 2025 and 2026 YTD, the rate of increase has slowed. This is likely because of the drop in the price of butterfat. In most all cases this is not a good decision. More butterfat still means more revenue per cow.
Chart V – Butterfat Percent in Milk

The increase in protein percent (Chart VI) has continued to grow at a steady increase.  Any changes to further increase the protein percent would increase revenue.

Chart VI – Protein Percent in Milk

The increases in milk per cow will increase margins with fewer cows.  The increases in 2025 and 2026 YTD have accelerated.  While more milk might not be needed, fewer cows to deliver the same amount of milk will increase financial margins (Chart VII).

Chart VII – Milk per Cow
THE FACTS – REVENUE PER COW

Chart VIII below shows the monthly revenue per cow for butterfat.  This is influenced by the price of butterfat, the percent of components and the amount of milk per cow.  With the declining prices of butterfat, revenue per cow has decreased.

Chart VIII – Butterfat Value per Month per Cow

The value of protein per cow is making a significant 40% increase in 2026 YTD.  As covered in Chart II above, it is because of the higher price of protein, and from the increases in component levels and more milk per cow (Chart VIII).

Chart IX – Protein Value per Month per Cow

Other solids contribution to revenue is small and is currently at a midpoint price.

Chart X – Other Solids Value per Month per Cow

Chart XI shows the increases and decreases of revenue for all three components.  Other solids provide the least revenue, and the amount does not increase.  Revenue from butterfat and protein are currently near the same value per pound with a slight lead from protein revenue.

Chart XI – The Three Pieces of Revenue for Class III Milk

Chart XI shows the combined monthly revenue of butterfat, protein and other solids per cow.  The monthly per cow revenue has increased by nearly 20% in 2026 YTD.  However, the current total monthly revenue per cow is below the average of the months in this chart.

Chart XII – Monthly Revenue per cow for Class III Milk
SUMMARY  

The monthly revenue for Class III milk, the largest Class, is now at a reasonable level.  From a producers’ perspective, increasing the component levels and milk per cow is key.  When prices of commodities are low, it is tempting to reduce effort to increase components and milk per cow.  But they are the keys to increasing revenue and margins.

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Prior posts covered the low prices for producer milk.  The value of commodities is priced on formulas developed by the USDA and implemented in 2025.  The details on how a producer is paid will be covered in this post.  There are 12 charts in this blog to cover the details.  Most data is displayed in monthly increments.  The purpose is to highlight the important elements to increase revenue. 

 The value of components is mostly low.  A milk producer does not have control on component prices.  The most important elements that a producers can control are the percent of components in milk and milk per cow. 

While the price of components is based on a 4-4-5 weekly basis, milk production follows the calendar days.  Component level and milk per cow are based on 12-month moving averages to eliminate volatility in weekly data.

THE FACTS – COMPONENT PRICES

The value of butterfat has fallen by 46% and appears to be trending lower (Chart I).
Chart I – Butterfat Price per Pound

The protein pricing formula is linked to the price of cheese and the price of butterfat.  Cheese prices are low but have gained 19% in 2026 (Chart III).  The cheese price is determined by the wholesale price of Cheddar cheese. 

The USDA formulas are configured so that the decreases in butterfat prices increase the value of protein, but the relatively low cheese prices offset some of the gains (Chart II).  

Cheese production is currently higher than domestic consumption, increasing inventories and esports.  But the price of cheese is trending upward and therefore the price of protein has increased and should continue to increase.

Chart II – Protein Price per Pound
Chart III – Cheese Price per Pound

Other Solids are priced on the value of dry whey.  The current price of other solids is $.38 per pound, a decent price, but a small contributor to overall producer revenue (Chart IV).

CHART IV – Other Solids Price per Pound

THE FACTS – COMPONENTS AND MILK VOLUME

Component percents and milk per cow are under the control of the producer. The trends are covered in the three charts below. Butterfat percent (Chart V) has a strong influence on revenue. The increase has been steady for most of the time covered in these charts, but in late 2025 and 2026 YTD, the rate of increase has slowed. This is likely because of the drop in the price of butterfat. In most all cases this is not a good decision. More butterfat still means more revenue per cow.
Chart V – Butterfat Percent in Milk

The increase in protein percent (Chart VI) has continued to grow at a steady increase.  Any changes to further increase the protein percent would increase revenue.

Chart VI – Protein Percent in Milk

The increases in milk per cow will increase margins with fewer cows.  The increases in 2025 and 2026 YTD have accelerated.  While more milk might not be needed, fewer cows to deliver the same amount of milk will increase financial margins (Chart VII).

Chart VII – Milk per Cow
THE FACTS – REVENUE PER COW

Chart VIII below shows the monthly revenue per cow for butterfat.  This is influenced by the price of butterfat, the percent of components and the amount of milk per cow.  With the declining prices of butterfat, revenue per cow has decreased.

Chart VIII – Butterfat Value per Month per Cow

The value of protein per cow is making a significant 40% increase in 2026 YTD.  As covered in Chart II above, it is because of the higher price of protein, and from the increases in component levels and more milk per cow (Chart VIII).

Chart IX – Protein Value per Month per Cow

Other solids contribution to revenue is small and is currently at a midpoint price.

Chart X – Other Solids Value per Month per Cow

Chart XI shows the increases and decreases of revenue for all three components.  Other solids provide the least revenue, and the amount does not increase.  Revenue from butterfat and protein are currently near the same value per pound with a slight lead from protein revenue.

Chart XI – The Three Pieces of Revenue for Class III Milk

Chart XI shows the combined monthly revenue of butterfat, protein and other solids per cow.  The monthly per cow revenue has increased by nearly 20% in 2026 YTD.  However, the current total monthly revenue per cow is below the average of the months in this chart.

Chart XII – Monthly Revenue per cow for Class III Milk
SUMMARY  

The monthly revenue for Class III milk, the largest Class, is now at a reasonable level.  From a producers’ perspective, increasing the component levels and milk per cow is key.  When prices of commodities are low, it is tempting to reduce effort to increase components and milk per cow.  But they are the keys to increasing revenue and margins.

Other recent posts are available at this link, and older posts are available at this link.

Subscribe via email

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Get new posts by email:

Cheese

Dry Whey

Cash prices - Butter / Cheese

FMMO Price Announcements

Resources

Blog Archive

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