Part III – Milk Class Prices in 2025

Part III – Milk Class Prices in 2025

Milk Class prices published by the USDA are an Index based on the monthly prices of components and fixed levels of components.  The formulas were changed in June 2025 and as a result the prices before June 2025 and the current Class prices are not comparable.  The data in this post uses the USDA published Class prices.   They are not the prices that producers are paid. All four of the Classes showed a decreased value in 2025.  The changes in all Class prices result from increases and decreases in component prices and changed formulas.

The changes in the Class formulas are in red above each milk Class Chart.  Every Class formula uses 3.5% butterfat.  In 2025, the reported butterfat percents average 4.3% (Chart I).  If the actual butterfat component levels were used, the Class prices would be much higher.
CHART I – Butterfat as a Percent of Producer Milk

CLASS I BASE

Class I Skim milk price calculations are based on “Advanced Prices and Pricing Factors” for Class III and Class IV milk.  The Butterfat, Protein, and Other Solids prices are based on the prior two weeks of the month.  Class I Base prices are shown in Chart II and are on a decline in 2025 due primarily to the decreasing butterfat prices.

Chart II – Class I Prices

CLASS II

The Class II skim milk price is a mixture of different formulas with the skim milk part based on the “Advanced Class Prices and Factors”.  The butterfat part is based on “Class and Components pricing”.

The Class II Milk prices for 2025 (Chart III) show a decreasing price due to the lower butterfat prices and formula price changes made in June 2025.

Chart III – Class II Prices

CLASS III

Class III milk is the largest category of milk usage and therefore has the largest impact on milk pricing.  The formula changes increased the index price with higher component levels for Protein and Other Solids (See the changes below in red).

That slowed the decline in the index prices slightly.  The Class III index price continued to decrease but at a slightly slower rate.  In 2025, the index price of Class III milk dropped by 17%.

Chart IV – Class III Prices

Class IV

Class IV index milk prices continued to decline in 2025 (Chart V).  The new formulas included a larger volume of Nonfat Solids which improved the Class IV skim price (See the changes below in red).  However, the decrease in the price of butterfat had a larger impact.  Butterfat is still included in the formulas at 3.5% although the actual amount of butterfat is over 4%.

Chart V – Class IV Prices

SUMMARY

The decreased price of butterfat had a major impact on all classes of milk covered above.  The changes in the index formulas increased protein content from 3.1% to 3.3% in Class III and increased the Nonfat solids from 9.0% to 9.3% in Class IV.  However, the butterfat content was maintained at 3.5% for all Classes.  With a more realistic amount of butterfat in the charts, the milk class prices would be priced much higher.

 

Yes, it’s complicated

 

The next post will use the 2025 pricing data to estimate where the prices may be going in 2026.  The above index prices do not represent any realistic pricing and will be used only slightly in the 2026 forecast of prices that will be reviewed in the next post.



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Milk Class prices published by the USDA are an Index based on the monthly prices of components and fixed levels of components.  The formulas were changed in June 2025 and as a result the prices before June 2025 and the current Class prices are not comparable.  The data in this post uses the USDA published Class prices.   They are not the prices that producers are paid. All four of the Classes showed a decreased value in 2025.  The changes in all Class prices result from increases and decreases in component prices and changed formulas.

The changes in the Class formulas are in red above each milk Class Chart.  Every Class formula uses 3.5% butterfat.  In 2025, the reported butterfat percents average 4.3% (Chart I).  If the actual butterfat component levels were used, the Class prices would be much higher.
CHART I – Butterfat as a Percent of Producer Milk

CLASS I BASE

Class I Skim milk price calculations are based on “Advanced Prices and Pricing Factors” for Class III and Class IV milk.  The Butterfat, Protein, and Other Solids prices are based on the prior two weeks of the month.  Class I Base prices are shown in Chart II and are on a decline in 2025 due primarily to the decreasing butterfat prices.

Chart II – Class I Prices

CLASS II

The Class II skim milk price is a mixture of different formulas with the skim milk part based on the “Advanced Class Prices and Factors”.  The butterfat part is based on “Class and Components pricing”.

The Class II Milk prices for 2025 (Chart III) show a decreasing price due to the lower butterfat prices and formula price changes made in June 2025.

Chart III – Class II Prices

CLASS III

Class III milk is the largest category of milk usage and therefore has the largest impact on milk pricing.  The formula changes increased the index price with higher component levels for Protein and Other Solids (See the changes below in red).

That slowed the decline in the index prices slightly.  The Class III index price continued to decrease but at a slightly slower rate.  In 2025, the index price of Class III milk dropped by 17%.

Chart IV – Class III Prices

Class IV

Class IV index milk prices continued to decline in 2025 (Chart V).  The new formulas included a larger volume of Nonfat Solids which improved the Class IV skim price (See the changes below in red).  However, the decrease in the price of butterfat had a larger impact.  Butterfat is still included in the formulas at 3.5% although the actual amount of butterfat is over 4%.

Chart V – Class IV Prices

SUMMARY

The decreased price of butterfat had a major impact on all classes of milk covered above.  The changes in the index formulas increased protein content from 3.1% to 3.3% in Class III and increased the Nonfat solids from 9.0% to 9.3% in Class IV.  However, the butterfat content was maintained at 3.5% for all Classes.  With a more realistic amount of butterfat in the charts, the milk class prices would be priced much higher.

 

Yes, it’s complicated

 

The next post will use the 2025 pricing data to estimate where the prices may be going in 2026.  The above index prices do not represent any realistic pricing and will be used only slightly in the 2026 forecast of prices that will be reviewed in the next post.



Other recent posts are available at this link, and older posts are available at this link.

Subscribe via email

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Get new posts by email:

Cheese

Dry Whey

Cash prices - Butter / Cheese

FMMO Price Announcements

Resources

Blog Archive

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